Over the last month, the Aluminum Extruders Council (AEC) has been collecting trade data and making an all-out push at the Department of Commerce (DOC) to have our Aluminum 232 aluminum extrusion tariffs reinstated. We are working as fast as we can to find a path to relief while facing the twin threat of a slowing economy and rising imports.
AEC U.S. extrusion members have dutifully submitted data to our trade attorneys so they can aggregate the information and confirm the injury many of us are feeling. Currently, we are wrapping up the Q3 data set, and after the first of the year, we will ask for Q4 results. Our attorneys will continue to aggregate the results to determine two things: confirmation of injury, and the duties we would expect to win, should we prevail.
Having already reviewed the data from our Sunset Review earlier this year, we know at this point that we do have a case. However, the second piece of the puzzle is even more important, which is, what would the tariffs be if we won? As data shows more injury, the calculations will show a higher tariff to be won. When the injury is at a point we can no longer bear, and the duties we could win would deliver a fair and balanced playing field, we will have a decision to make.
Knowing this may take several months to process, we have the time to push the DOC to reinstate our 232 aluminum tariffs. Many of you contributed information to me that I was able to convert into a letter sent to the Secretary of Commerce. We are working with the Secretary’s key policy maker and providing them whatever support they need to make this happen for us. I am hearing that progress is being made. However, we must keep up the pressure. Ideally, we would have the tariffs reinstated early next year, so we can see the impact it has on the import totals. Hopefully, it will cull some of these importers out of the mix and reveal to us who the true long-term strategic threats are to our industry. Then we can launch a trade case we know addresses the injury we are suffering. I will keep you updated on these activities via Trade Alerts and webinars as events unfold.
Meanwhile, our Administrative Review is winding down and we predict no changes in duties for this year and next. China rarely participates in these reviews, so the results have become fairly predictable. In scope challenges, we received a new challenge about a heat sink application. We will oppose this request. The Reflections Window case is expected to ramp up again in Q1 2023. And, finally, we are preparing for our Kingtom EAPA appeal. Even though the government representatives changed their minds, we still have an affirmative ruling from them. We plan to go to court with it and let the judge force Customs to abide by their original assessments.
Thank you all for your continued support. I believe 2023 is going to be a very interesting year. If we stick together, we can prevail. So, let’s plan on doing that! Happy Holidays!
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